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He argued that the National Intelligence Estimate IRANIAN WEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTION IRAN’S NUCLEAR WEAPONS. Estimating Iranian nuclear capabilities is further complicated by three key factors. Major Developments in Iran’s Nuclear Program 2006-2008 1. Comment Can the Iranian Nuclear Program Still be Stopped? Can the Iranian Nuclear Program Still be Stopped? Iran’s Nuclear Program: Diplomatic Options. We’ve convened some of the. But concern over Iranian intentions followed by the upheaval of the Islamic Revolution in 1. Iran was known to be reviving its civilian nuclear programs during the 1. Iran's ambitions had metastasized beyond peaceful intent. Iran has consistently denied allegations it seeks to develop a bomb. Yet many in the international community remain skeptical. Proposals Offered on Iranian Nuclear Program. The IAEA provided Iran with a series of questions in February and May 2008 requesting information regarding the activities. The Iranian Nuclear Crisis Timeline details the events that have led to the contemporary crisis surrounding the Iranian uranium enrichment program. March 31: Admiral William Fallon's resignation becomes. ![]() Is that the goal of our policy? In fact, what is our goal? Is it to overthrow the Iranian regime? Is it to make it cry uncle and give up its nuclear program? A wholesale revolution continues to strike me as a distant prospect.![]() ![]() ![]() Nonproliferation experts note Iran's ability to produce enriched uranium continues to progress but disagree on how close Iran is to mastering capabilities to weaponize. The September 2. 00. Qom- -constructed under the radar of international inspectors- -deepened suspicion surrounding Iran's nuclear ambitions. The West's fears were confirmed in mid- February 2. IAEA released a report that detailed Iran's potential for producing a nuclear weapon, including further fuel enrichment and plans for developing a missile- ready warhead. Atoms from America. Iran's efforts to develop nuclear energy trace to 1. Eisenhower administration to increase its military, economic, and civilian assistance to Iran. On March 5 of that year, the two countries announced a . The deal was intended to open doors for U. S. The plan also called for the U. S. Atomic Energy Commission to lease Iran up to 1. LEU) for research purposes. Two years after the agreement was made public, Shah Mohammed Reza Pahlavi ordered the establishment of an institute at Tehran University- -the Tehran Nuclear Research Center- -and negotiated with the United States to supply a five- megawatt reactor. Over the next decade the United States provided nuclear fuel and equipment that Iran used to start up its research. Gary Samore, President Obama's top expert on weapons of mass destruction, told CFR. Iran in developing nuclear energy while steering Tehran away from indigenous fuel- cycle research. On July 1, 1. 96. Iran signed the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty (NPT) on the day it opened for signature. Six years later Iran completed its Safeguards Agreement with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). By the 1. 97. 0s, France and Germany joined the United States in providing assistance to the Iranian nuclear program. Regional wars and predictions of a looming energy shortfall prompted the shah to explore alternative forms of power production. In March 1. 97. 4, he established the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran, and announced plans to . In August 1. 97. 4, a U. S. State Department spokesman. This concern led Western governments to withdraw support for Iran's nuclear program. Pressure on France, which in 1. Darkhovin, and Germany, whose Kraftwerk Union began building a pair of reactors at Bushehr in 1. After the Islamic Revolution, the seizure of U. S. Washington blocked nuclear deals between Iran and Argentina, China, and Russia. Mohammad Javad Zarif, the former Iranian ambassador to the United Nations, wrote in Columbia University's Journal of International Affairs in 2. Washington's shift away from supporting Iran's nuclear energy program left Tehran with little choice but to be discreet in its nuclear activities (PDF). And a confluence of factors- -opposition to nuclear technology by Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, the exodus of nuclear scientists, and the destruction of Iraq's nuclear facility by Israel in 1. Iran's nuclear program into a tailspin. But many nonproliferation experts believe Iran became interested again in a nuclear program by the mid- 1. Spector, deputy director of the Center for Nonproliferation Studies, writes there is evidence Iran received assistance from Pakistani nuclear scientist AQ Khan as early as 1. Khomeini in 1. 98. Tehran's efforts reached critical mass. Analysts also believe the discovery of Iraq's clandestine nuclear weapons program during the 1. Gulf War, as well as a growing U. S. In a boost to the civilian nuclear effort, Russia in January 1. Germany left off, signing a contract with Iran to complete two 9. Bushehr (with fuel supplied by Russia). In September 2. 00. Russian company building the power plant reiterated its commitment (AFP) to finishing the project, while Moscow has said it hopes to fire up the reactor by the end of 2. Press TV). Iranian officials have also announced that the Darkhovin project has resumed, and plans call for a 3. Iran- -which has also turned to China, Pakistan, and North Korea for nuclear technology and assistance- -claims it wants to build nuclear power plants to diversify its energy portfolio. With an eye toward fueling these facilities with domestically produced fuel- -and, many experts say, to develop a weapon- -Iran has built a vast network (PDF) of uranium mines, enrichment plants, conversion sites, and research reactors. Of these facilities, about a dozen are considered major nuclear sites (PDF). For instance, the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center employs as many as three thousand scientists and is suspected of housing Iran's weapons program, according to the U. S.- funded nonpartisan Congressional Research Service. Isfahan is also the location of Iran's uranium- conversion efforts, where approximately 3. March 2. 00. 4. This so- called feedstock is fed into centrifuges at another central site: the Natanz enrichment facility. At Natanz, first- generation centrifuges (IR- 1) purchased from Pakistan spin uranium hexafluoride at great speeds to increase the percentage of uranium- 2. Natural uranium contains 0. LEU). Weapons- grade uranium- -also known as highly- enriched uranium, or HEU- -is around 9. HEU is any concentration over 2. According to the IAEA, Iran is capable of enriching to about 4. David Albright, an expert on Iran's nuclear program and president of the Institute for Science and International Security, estimates Iran is producing roughly 2. LEU per day (PDF), a rate that has remained consistent throughout 2. Mark Fitzpatrick, senior fellow for nonproliferation at the International Institute for Strategic Studies in London, says if Iran were to stockpile sufficient LEU they would be able to produce 2. Iran is using centrifuges to enrich uranium hexafluoride gas, increasing the concentration of uranium- 2. Senior American officials, speaking on background, told reporters in September 2. Qom could hold about 3,0. In May 2. 00. 3, State Department spokesman Richard Boucher said the disclosure of Arak and Natanz raised serious questions about Iran's nuclear intentions. In a June 2. 00. 3 report (PDF), IAEA inspectors concluded that Iran had failed to meet obligations under its Safeguards Agreement signed in 1. Failures included withholding construction and design details of new facilities, and not reporting processed and imported uranium. Some undeclared shipments dated to 1. IAEA said. International pressure following the revelations led Iran to temporarily cease its enrichment- related activities, and in late 2. Tehran signed an Additional Protocol allowing the atomic agency greater access to nuclear sites. Negotiations with members of the European Union quickly followed (PDF). But on August 8, 2. Iran announced it was resuming uranium conversion at Isfahan. By early 2. 00. 6, IAEA inspectors confirmed that Iran had once again resumed its enrichment program. Today Iran operates thousands of IR- 1 centrifuges- the majority at Natanz- though the total number of operational devices is unclear. Construction of a commercial- scale facility at Natanz, which will house over fifty thousand centrifuges, is also under way. Under the terms of the NPT, signatories have the . But the United States and other Western governments accuse Iran of failing to abide by NPT safeguards, and of pursuing technology to produce nuclear weapons. Kerr of the Congressional Research Service wrote in a August 2. PDF) that the principal proliferation concern is . Experts say enrichment of uranium hexafluoride gas is of particular concern, because producing weapons- grade fuel (HEU) is considered the most difficult aspect of the nuclear fuel cycle. Kerr also counts Iran's construction of a heavy- water reactor at Arak- -which contains plutonium in its spent fuel- -as another proliferation concern. Albright, of ISIS, says Iranian enrichment capabilities are improving, a troubling development given Iran's continued refusal to answer IAEA questions about past activities. In February 2. 00. IAEA presented Iran with intelligence collected by the United States that U. S. The intelligence is believed to have been smuggled out of Iran on a laptop computer in 2. Central Intelligence Agency (CIA). The data included (PDF) alleged evidence of the so- called Green Salt project, a secret uranium- processing program; high- explosives testing; and design of a reentry vehicle . Iranian officials claim the data is fake. But the November 2. U. S. National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) concluded that while Iran likely halted its weapons program in fall 2. IAEA Director General Mohamed El. Baradei, speaking in September 2. Iran continues to be uncooperative on many fronts, making it impossible to determine Tehran's intent. In September 2. 00. IAEA Board of Governors expressed an . Resolution 1. 73. Subsequent resolutions- -the most recent in September 2. Iranian individuals and companies. In June 2. 00. 8, the European Union imposed its own set of sanctions, freezing the assets of nearly forty individuals and entities doing business with Bank Melli, Iran's largest bank. Western officials have accused Bank Melli of supporting Iran's nuclear and missile programs. Now some members of Congress are backing a bill that would authorize the White House to penalize foreign companies for selling refined petroleum to Iran. Some analysts support this approach, but former U. S. Ambassador to the UN John R. Bolton suggests only the threat of force (WSJ) can prevent an Iran nuclear bomb. Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP): A Review Literature Report . You can download the paper by clicking the button above. ![]() ![]() ![]()
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